Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 61.934528 70.277436 78.851752 88.289546 98.354094 108.735922 120.224513
2025-06-29 48.474308 60.279859 73.018145 87.647168 103.853455 121.139292 140.854997
2025-07-06 39.324612 52.713480 67.728437 85.528340 105.789215 127.897824 153.619154
2025-07-13 35.434795 50.438055 67.776521 88.822764 113.249669 140.330630 172.263677
2025-07-20 31.686774 47.806012 66.971645 90.743332 118.813517 150.363969 187.994640
2025-07-27 27.449361 44.097252 64.493642 90.352722 121.412650 156.790085 199.445443
2025-08-03 23.684960 40.592166 61.939227 89.584275 123.326836 162.233391 209.607904
2025-08-10 21.017590 38.256976 60.626989 90.141671 126.664902 169.213307 221.446390
2025-08-17 18.224514 35.464671 58.507539 89.508364 128.413237 174.206950 230.880022
2025-08-24 16.105319 33.411961 57.191775 89.752200 131.124152 180.260823 241.494011
2025-08-31 13.821984 30.874505 55.044470 88.778447 132.210305 184.280276 249.635837
2025-09-07 12.531326 29.726650 54.706771 90.087717 136.094267 191.636868 261.719282
2025-09-14 11.372640 28.697600 54.495809 91.563463 140.224297 199.360937 274.348654
2025-09-21 9.699390 26.623862 52.663858 90.773712 141.405417 203.444345 282.593078
2025-09-28 7.893180 24.064085 49.943249 88.632384 140.734078 205.160059 287.907479
2025-10-05 7.573194 24.183197 51.217119 91.991796 147.206496 215.734260 303.986900
2025-10-12 6.969319 23.687110 51.508190 93.952374 151.834934 224.010493 317.276468
2025-10-19 5.937684 22.200448 50.171750 93.553678 153.310310 228.313498 325.692516
2025-10-26 4.953923 20.643639 48.619807 92.769483 154.216823 231.861476 333.154301
2025-11-02 4.314132 19.727059 48.037949 93.338316 156.900417 237.635767 343.349386
2025-11-09 3.557542 18.386613 46.667473 92.692010 157.902666 241.245685 350.849823
2025-11-16 3.018065 17.461810 45.933815 92.940856 160.088196 246.346331 360.190436
2025-11-23 2.390442 16.134162 44.412672 91.947062 160.529797 249.180712 366.688564